FTSE Short Term Forecast
Receive BUY and SELL signals on the FTSE 100 including price targets and stop losses. This service is best suited to those who want to create short term profits over a few days and don’t want to spend too much time watching the market. The FTSE short term forecast is also suited to those who are keen to learn Elliott wave analysis.
You will receive three reports each day:
1. (08:00) An analysis of the short term direction of the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 based on Elliott wave and e-Yield’s proprietary indicators, with comments and charts.
2. (08:00) the levels to trade including price target and stop loss.
3. (17:30) an update on the levels to trade.
There are two components, the analysis and the levels to trade.
1. The analysis
You will receive three reports each day:
1. (08:00) An analysis of the short term direction of the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 based on Elliott wave and e-Yield’s proprietary indicators, with comments and charts.
2. (08:00) the levels to trade including price target and stop loss.
3. (17:30) an update on the levels to trade.
There are two components, the analysis and the levels to trade.
1. The analysis
The FTSE Short Term Forecast gives traders an accurate forecast of the short term direction of the FTSE 100 and is edited by Thierry Laduguie.
It's a fact that 90% of the most liquid stocks with follow the movements of the FTSE, so whether you trade the index or UK stocks, you must have a reliable forecasting tool in order to achieve long term success. The FTSE Short Term Forecast provides this. Each report contains unrivalled market timing analysis derived from a new and innovative strategy designed by Thierry Laduguie, who is an expert in market forecasting techniques.
The FTSE Short Term Forecast is published daily and discusses market action using Elliott wave analysis and some powerful indicators such as the BTI (Bullish Trend Indicator) and the Top 20 Differential indicator.
The Bullish Trend Indicator (BTI) is a sentiment indicator used to assess the mood of investors. When the daily change in BTI is up, sentiment is bullish and when it is down sentiment is bearish. This unique indicator tells us whether investors are bullish or bearish at a specific time, regardless of the state of the fundamental news. This is very important because when investors are in a bullish mood there is a high probability that the market will rise.The BTI is used to assess the near term direction of the market and confirms the Elliott wave count.
The 34-day BTI tells us when the FTSE is near a critical turning point. When the 34-day BTI is declining and the FTSE is rising (bearish divergence) the FTSE is near a top. When the 34-day BTI is rising and the FTSE is declining (bullish divergence) the FTSE is near a bottom.
The 13-day BTI is used to identify intermediate FTSE tops/bottoms. When the 13-day BTI is overbought the FTSE is overbought and ready to pull back. When the 13-day BTI is oversold the FTSE is oversold and ready to rally.
The Top 20 Differential indicator detects short term overbought/oversold levels in the market. This indicator tells us when the market has reached a temporary support or resistance level. This valuable indicator enables investors to take profits at the right time just as the market is about to change direction.
Finally, and most importantly, each report tells you whether your portfolio should be net long, neutral or net short, based on our own indicators.
FTSE Short Term Forecast Guidelines
The FTSE short term forecast is based on three analytical tools: Elliott Wave Principle, Bullish Trend Indicator (BTI) and Top 20 Differential.
The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how groups of people behave.
It reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific and measurable patterns. One of the easiest places to see this phenomenon at work is in the financial markets, where changing investor psychology is recorded in the form of price movements. If you can identify repeating patterns in prices, and figure out where in those repeating patterns we are today, then you can predict where we are going in the future.
There are three types of BTI published in the FTSE short term forecast, BTI, 13-day BTI and 34-day BTI. The fourth indicator is the Top 20 Differential.
BTI and 34-day BTI are directional indicators. They give investors the direction of the FTSE 100.
13-day BTI and Top 20 Differential are timing indicators. They tell investors when to buy and when to sell
1. BTI: When the BTI is up the near term trend is up. When the BTI is down, the near term trend is down. We trade in the direction of the BTI and in general the near term trend is confirmed by the Elliott wave count.
2. 34-day BTI: When this indicator is showing a divergence, the FTSE will change direction within a few weeks.
Timing indicators:
1. 13-day BTI: This indicator identifies when the FTSE 100 is near a high or a low. When the 13-day BTI is oversold the FTSE 100 is a buy, when the 13-day BTI is overbought the FTSE 100 is a sell. The 13-day BTI measures extremes in sentiment. This is important because an extreme in sentiment generally coincides with a market turn. For example, when the mood is bullish the market rises. The more the market rises the more bullish investors become and this process continues until investors mood reaches an extreme in optimism, at which point the FTSE 100 peaks and turns down. This is when the 13-day BTI is overbought. Similarly, when the FTSE 100 is declining and the mood becomes more and more bearish, the 13-day BTI will become oversold. This indicates that the mood is extremely bearish and, as a result, the FTSE 100 will bottom out and turn up.
2. Top 20 Differential: Like the 13-day BTI, the Top 20 Differential detects when the FTSE 100 is near a high or a low. When the Top 20 Differential is oversold the FTSE 100 is a buy, when the Top 20 Differential is overbought the FTSE 100 is a sell.
Each FTSE short term forecast report clearly states whether the BTI is up or down, the 34-day BTI diverges or not, the 13-day BTI and Top 20 Differential are overbought or oversold.
How to trade the FTSE short term forecast
- Trade in the direction given by the Elliott wave and the directional indicators [BTI and 34-day BTI]. In addition the FTSE forecast must be confirmed by the S&P forecast, both charts must point in the same direction.
- Buy on pull backs when the BTI is rising, sell on rallies when the BTI is declining.
- Strong buy when the timing indicator [13-day BTI or Top 20 Differential] is oversold
- Strong sell when the timing indicator is overbought.
2. The levels to trade
The FTSE Timing Indicator gives the levels to trade. The following table is updated twice a day with the latest FTSE 100 position.
It's a fact that 90% of the most liquid stocks with follow the movements of the FTSE, so whether you trade the index or UK stocks, you must have a reliable forecasting tool in order to achieve long term success. The FTSE Short Term Forecast provides this. Each report contains unrivalled market timing analysis derived from a new and innovative strategy designed by Thierry Laduguie, who is an expert in market forecasting techniques.
The FTSE Short Term Forecast is published daily and discusses market action using Elliott wave analysis and some powerful indicators such as the BTI (Bullish Trend Indicator) and the Top 20 Differential indicator.
The Bullish Trend Indicator (BTI) is a sentiment indicator used to assess the mood of investors. When the daily change in BTI is up, sentiment is bullish and when it is down sentiment is bearish. This unique indicator tells us whether investors are bullish or bearish at a specific time, regardless of the state of the fundamental news. This is very important because when investors are in a bullish mood there is a high probability that the market will rise.The BTI is used to assess the near term direction of the market and confirms the Elliott wave count.
The 34-day BTI tells us when the FTSE is near a critical turning point. When the 34-day BTI is declining and the FTSE is rising (bearish divergence) the FTSE is near a top. When the 34-day BTI is rising and the FTSE is declining (bullish divergence) the FTSE is near a bottom.
The 13-day BTI is used to identify intermediate FTSE tops/bottoms. When the 13-day BTI is overbought the FTSE is overbought and ready to pull back. When the 13-day BTI is oversold the FTSE is oversold and ready to rally.
The Top 20 Differential indicator detects short term overbought/oversold levels in the market. This indicator tells us when the market has reached a temporary support or resistance level. This valuable indicator enables investors to take profits at the right time just as the market is about to change direction.
Finally, and most importantly, each report tells you whether your portfolio should be net long, neutral or net short, based on our own indicators.
FTSE Short Term Forecast Guidelines
The FTSE short term forecast is based on three analytical tools: Elliott Wave Principle, Bullish Trend Indicator (BTI) and Top 20 Differential.
The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how groups of people behave.
It reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific and measurable patterns. One of the easiest places to see this phenomenon at work is in the financial markets, where changing investor psychology is recorded in the form of price movements. If you can identify repeating patterns in prices, and figure out where in those repeating patterns we are today, then you can predict where we are going in the future.
There are three types of BTI published in the FTSE short term forecast, BTI, 13-day BTI and 34-day BTI. The fourth indicator is the Top 20 Differential.
BTI and 34-day BTI are directional indicators. They give investors the direction of the FTSE 100.
13-day BTI and Top 20 Differential are timing indicators. They tell investors when to buy and when to sell
1. BTI: When the BTI is up the near term trend is up. When the BTI is down, the near term trend is down. We trade in the direction of the BTI and in general the near term trend is confirmed by the Elliott wave count.
2. 34-day BTI: When this indicator is showing a divergence, the FTSE will change direction within a few weeks.
Timing indicators:
1. 13-day BTI: This indicator identifies when the FTSE 100 is near a high or a low. When the 13-day BTI is oversold the FTSE 100 is a buy, when the 13-day BTI is overbought the FTSE 100 is a sell. The 13-day BTI measures extremes in sentiment. This is important because an extreme in sentiment generally coincides with a market turn. For example, when the mood is bullish the market rises. The more the market rises the more bullish investors become and this process continues until investors mood reaches an extreme in optimism, at which point the FTSE 100 peaks and turns down. This is when the 13-day BTI is overbought. Similarly, when the FTSE 100 is declining and the mood becomes more and more bearish, the 13-day BTI will become oversold. This indicates that the mood is extremely bearish and, as a result, the FTSE 100 will bottom out and turn up.
2. Top 20 Differential: Like the 13-day BTI, the Top 20 Differential detects when the FTSE 100 is near a high or a low. When the Top 20 Differential is oversold the FTSE 100 is a buy, when the Top 20 Differential is overbought the FTSE 100 is a sell.
Each FTSE short term forecast report clearly states whether the BTI is up or down, the 34-day BTI diverges or not, the 13-day BTI and Top 20 Differential are overbought or oversold.
How to trade the FTSE short term forecast
- Trade in the direction given by the Elliott wave and the directional indicators [BTI and 34-day BTI]. In addition the FTSE forecast must be confirmed by the S&P forecast, both charts must point in the same direction.
- Buy on pull backs when the BTI is rising, sell on rallies when the BTI is declining.
- Strong buy when the timing indicator [13-day BTI or Top 20 Differential] is oversold
- Strong sell when the timing indicator is overbought.
2. The levels to trade
The FTSE Timing Indicator gives the levels to trade. The following table is updated twice a day with the latest FTSE 100 position.
In the above table the FTSE Timing Indicator indicates a Buy (75% long). The strongest signals are 100% long (Strong Buy) and 100% short (Strong Sell).
If there is no signal the arrows will point to Neutral.
Once a position is opened the arrows will point to "Stay Long" or "Stay short".
Each report contains the following information:
When to trade
We trade when the FTSE 100 current position is on Buy or Sell or when the Limit order is filled.
For example if the 08:00 report says "Limit order: We buy at 5450" and the FTSE 100 reaches that level during the day we will buy.
If there is no signal the arrows will point to Neutral.
Once a position is opened the arrows will point to "Stay Long" or "Stay short".
Each report contains the following information:
- FTSE 100 current position (Buy, Sell, Stay long, Stay short or Neutral)
- Current FTSE 100 price
- Target
- Stop loss
- Direction
- Limit order
When to trade
We trade when the FTSE 100 current position is on Buy or Sell or when the Limit order is filled.
For example if the 08:00 report says "Limit order: We buy at 5450" and the FTSE 100 reaches that level during the day we will buy.
FAQs
What do the red arrows on each side indicate?
The arrows point to the current position of the FTSE 100 index as calculated by our FTSE Timing Indicator. The indicator tells you whether the FTSE 100 index is at the start, middle or end of a move. Since this information is based on probability of success, readings with a high percentage (75% or higher) are the strongest signals.
What is the difference between the signals "Strong Sell and Strong Buy", and just "Sell and Buy?
A 'strong sell' or 'strong buy' is the most positive signal because the probability of prices moving up or down is forecast between 75%-100%.
A 'sell' or 'buy' signal has less potential because the probability of prices moving up or down is forecast between 50%-75% but should still be regarded as positive.
What is Neutral?
Neutral means do not trade. A neutral situation occurs when a move is too advanced in its progress or is about to end. If, however, you have an existing open position which is in profit you may want to close it and take profits or you may want to keep it open hoping prices will continue to move in your favour.
When should I trade?
You should trade when the arrows indicate a valid signal, either 75% or 100%.
When do I take profits and when do I cut my losses?
The FTSE Timing Indicator will tell you when to take profits. For example you should take profits when the indicator moves to 25% short or long (the trend is nearing an end).
Can I use a tighter stop loss?
You can use a smaller stop loss but it is not recommended. After a signal is given, the move may not start immediately and the position will be in a temporary loss. The key is to sit tight and wait until the position turns into a profit. If you use a tight stop loss you will be stopped out more often.
How many signals will I get?
We send two daily updates at 8.00am and 5.30pm showing the latest position. On average the system produces 5 Buy/Sell signals per month.
What do the red arrows on each side indicate?
The arrows point to the current position of the FTSE 100 index as calculated by our FTSE Timing Indicator. The indicator tells you whether the FTSE 100 index is at the start, middle or end of a move. Since this information is based on probability of success, readings with a high percentage (75% or higher) are the strongest signals.
What is the difference between the signals "Strong Sell and Strong Buy", and just "Sell and Buy?
A 'strong sell' or 'strong buy' is the most positive signal because the probability of prices moving up or down is forecast between 75%-100%.
A 'sell' or 'buy' signal has less potential because the probability of prices moving up or down is forecast between 50%-75% but should still be regarded as positive.
What is Neutral?
Neutral means do not trade. A neutral situation occurs when a move is too advanced in its progress or is about to end. If, however, you have an existing open position which is in profit you may want to close it and take profits or you may want to keep it open hoping prices will continue to move in your favour.
When should I trade?
You should trade when the arrows indicate a valid signal, either 75% or 100%.
When do I take profits and when do I cut my losses?
The FTSE Timing Indicator will tell you when to take profits. For example you should take profits when the indicator moves to 25% short or long (the trend is nearing an end).
Can I use a tighter stop loss?
You can use a smaller stop loss but it is not recommended. After a signal is given, the move may not start immediately and the position will be in a temporary loss. The key is to sit tight and wait until the position turns into a profit. If you use a tight stop loss you will be stopped out more often.
How many signals will I get?
We send two daily updates at 8.00am and 5.30pm showing the latest position. On average the system produces 5 Buy/Sell signals per month.
Disclaimer
e-Yield and the author of the research do not make any personal recommendations. The information is provided solely to enable investors to make their own investment decisions and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in investments. If you have any doubts, you should seek advice from an independent financial adviser.
Financial trading and spread betting carry a high level of risk to your capital, and are not suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks, and seek independent advice if necessary.
e-Yield and the author of the research do not make any personal recommendations. The information is provided solely to enable investors to make their own investment decisions and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in investments. If you have any doubts, you should seek advice from an independent financial adviser.
Financial trading and spread betting carry a high level of risk to your capital, and are not suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks, and seek independent advice if necessary.
